Wuhan coronavirus heightens political risks for the CCP; analyzing the Wuhan lockdown

SinoInsight  1  In the morning of Jan. 23, the Wuhan local government announced that all urban transport networks (public transportation, trains, etc.) in the city would be shut down and suspended outgoing flights from Wuhan starting 10:00 a.m. local time. The Wuhan authorities said that also urged residents not to leave the city and advised …

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‘Phase one’ trade deal quick take; analyzing China’s 2019 GDP growth

SinoInsight  1   On Jan. 15, U.S. President Donald Trump and PRC vice premier Liu He signed “phase one” of the Sino-U.S. trade deal at a ceremony in the Oval Office. Over 200 people from business, diplomatic, and government circles attended the signing ceremony. According to a report by the Chinese edition of BBC, a total …

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Analyzing PRC commentary on the ‘phase one’ deal; Xi looks to ramp up the anti-corruption campaign

SinoInsight  1     On Jan. 13, the CCP Central Commission for Discipline Inspection held its fourth plenary session. All members of the Politburo Standing Committee attended the meeting key conclave, and Xi Jinping delivered a speech. Noteworthy points in Xi’s speech include: 1. Xi stressed the need for continuous effort in cracking down on “tigers” …

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Analyzing the Taiwan elections; trouble in Shenzhen property market

SinoInsight  1  Taiwan held its presidential election on Jan. 11. Incumbent Republic of China leader Tsai Ing-wen retained the presidency by winning almost 8.2 million votes, or over 2.6 million more than her main rival, Kuomintang’s Han Kuo-yu. Tsai’s total vote tally was also more than any ROC leader since Taiwan elected its first president …

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China fails to confirm trade deal signing; death threats against Wang Liqiang and the Taiwan elections

SinoInsight  1   At a regular PRC foreign ministry press conference on Jan. 7, foreign ministry spokesperson Geng Shuang was asked if he could confirm reports that PRC vice premier Liu He would be traveling to Washington on Jan. 13 to sign the “phase one” Sino-U.S. trade deal. Geng replied, “I’d refer you to the Ministry …

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The ‘People’s Leader’ and the ‘phase one’ deal; analyzing the Hong Kong Liaison Office personnel reshuffle

SinoInsight  1   On Jan. 1, the CCP ideological journal Qiushi published its first issue for 2020. Featured in the issue was a speech by Xi Jinping delivered at the closing of the Fourth Plenum of the 19th Central Committee on Oct. 31, 2019. In the speech, titled “Adhere to and Improve the Socialist System with …

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US trade deal pressure could trigger Black Swans in China; LGFV defaults risk triggering systemic crisis

SinoInsight  1  On Dec. 22, mainland media outlet The Economic Observer reported the default of a city investment bond issued by the local government in Zhaoling District in Henan’s Luohe City. The bond was issued by another city investment platform in Zhaoling and was guaranteed (accounts receivable of not less than 600 million yuan) by …

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Lighthizer confirms CCP politics will decide ‘phase one’ deal; Lou Jiwei’s call for more gov’t bonds signals serious economic decline

SinoInsight  1   In an interview with CBS’s “Face the Nation” on Dec. 14, United States Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said of the Sino-U.S. “phase one” trade deal, “Ultimately, whether this whole agreement works is going to be determined by who’s making the decisions in China, not in the United States. If the hardliners are making …

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Early analysis of the ‘phase one’ trade deal; Xi’s military personnel moves & trade deal risks

SinoInsight  1   The CCP held the Central Economic Work Conference in Beijing from Dec. 10 to Dec. 12. All seven members of the Politburo Standing Committee were in attendance and both Xi Jinping and Li Keqiang gave speeches about economic work in 2019, the current economic situation in China and key tasks for 2020. Key …

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Why China is committed to further opening up financial markets; Beijing paves the way to sacrifice Carrie Lam?

SinoInsight  1 On Dec. 9, Charles Ho Tsu-kwok, chairman of Hong Kong Chinese language newspaper Sing Tao News and a member of the National Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference, published a full-page advertisement in his newspaper titled, “Wait and See” (拭目以待). In the advertisement, Ho listed 12 “harms” that the Hong Kong …

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