◎ We believe that there is a very good chance that China and the U.S. will get a trade agreement even as American tariffs go into effect.
◎ How the CCP reacts to Trump’s tariff threat would determine the outcome of the trade talks.
◎ The CCP will likely try to drag out the trade negotiations, the implementation of the trade deal, and the enforcement mediation process to gain an advantage in the “new cold war.”
Read moreGeopolitics Watch: The CCP is Exploiting US Trade Talks to Further its Domination Agenda
◎ The CCP’s modus operandi ensures that the EU-China joint statement might as well be a blank sheet of paper.
◎ The CCP’s trade war strategy is revealed in its propaganda. Meanwhile, America struggles with the Party’s delaying tactic.
◎ The stalemate in Sino-U.S. trade negotiations has led to a stalemate in global geopolitics.
Read moreGeopolitics Watch: Xi’s Europe Trip, the Sino-US Trade War, & Global Geopolitics
◎ Any “backsliding” by North Korea at this stage would be counterproductive for Kim Jong Un as it would likely cause the U.S. to redouble its focus on resolving trade with China.
◎ The CCP factional struggle will escalate as Xi tries to force through reforms to meet U.S. trade demands.
◎ The propaganda narratives in Xinhua lay the groundwork for Xi to agree to U.S. demands on sensitive issues like structural reform without losing face at home.
Read moreGeopolitics Watch: Xi Lays Groundwork for Trade Concessions in State Media
◎ Xi has pressing need to compromise, and Trump will not accept a “superficial” trade deal.
