Geopolitics Watch: Korean Peninsula Denuke and Peace Could Hinge on US-North Korea Trust

Before departing Pyongyang on July 7, United States Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said that the round of talks he had with General Kim Yong Chol, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un’s top lieutenant, were “productive” and held in “good faith.” He added that progress was made on “almost all of the central issues” of …

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Geopolitics Watch: What North Korea, China ‘Backslide’ Means for Denuclearization, Sino-US Trade

Since the Trump-Kim summit in Singapore, signs have emerged which suggest that North Korea may not be working to denuclearize quickly. While United States President Donald Trump said that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un had promised to destroy a missile engines testing site, recent satellite images reveal no progress on that front. Instead, Pyongyang …

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Geopolitics Watch: Will Xi Really Strike Back at the US in Trade Clash?

In a meeting with about 20 American and European CEOs of multinationals on June 21, Chinese leader Xi Jinping appeared to indicate that China would retaliate to the Trump administration’s recent escalation of trade tensions, according to The Wall Street Journal. “In the West you have the notion that if somebody hits you on the …

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Geopolitics Watch: Sino-US Trade Conflict a Catalyst for Big Change in China

United States President Donald Trump stepped up a trade conflict with China on June 19 by asking his administration to identify $200 billion worth of China goods to be penalized with tariffs at a rate of 10 percent. Trump’s move was a response to China announcing retaliatory duties to an earlier list of U.S. tariffs …

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Geopolitics Watch: The Potentially Dire Implications of US Tariffs on China

On June 15, United States President Donald Trump announced tariffs on Chinese imports. Details from the White House and the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) include: The U.S. would impose a 25 percent tariff on $50 billion of Chinese goods that contain “industrially significant technologies,” including those related to China’s “Made in …

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Geopolitics Watch: Pompeo Meeting with Xi Forebodes Trade War Truce

On June 14, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo met with Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Beijing as part of an effort to secure international support for the United States on the denuclearization of North Korea. A day earlier, Pompeo had met with the foreign ministers of South Korea and Japan in Seoul to update them …

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Geopolitics Watch: Trump-Kim Summit Affirms Our Peace and Denuclearization Prediction

United States President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un signed a joint statement at the end of their summit in Singapore on June 12. After signing the statement, Trump said that they would “take care of a very big and very dangerous problem for the world” while Kim said that they would …

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Geopolitics Watch: US Deal Puts ZTE on ‘Probation,’ Benefits US National Security

On June 7, United States Commerce Department Secretary Wilbur Ross announced a deal to allow Chinese telecommunications company ZTE to resume business. Under the deal, ZTE would have to: Pay a $1 billion fine and put $400 million in escrow; Change its board and management within 30 days; Retain a new U.S.-selected compliance team selected …

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Geopolitics Watch: Would Kim Jong Un Accept Senate Democrats Denuclearization Demands?

In a letter to United States President Donald Trump, Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer and other top Senate Democrats listed five demands that North Korea must meet before they would approve the lifting of sanctions on Pyongyang. The demands include: 1) Dismantle or remove every single one of North Korea’s nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons; …

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Geopolitics Watch: Decoding China’s Statement on Sino-US Trade Talks

China and the United States held the third round of high-level trade talks in Beijing from June 2 to June 3. U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross led lower level officials in meetings at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse with a Chinese team led by State Council vice premier Liu He. Unlike the previous round of trade …

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