HONG KONG ANTI-ELAB
◎ The Hong Kong national security law is a double-edged sword for Xi in the factional struggle and could serve as a catalyst for political Black Swans.
◎ The following analysis was first published in the April 16 edition of our subscriber-only SinoWeekly Plus newsletter. Subscribe to SinoInsider to view past analyses in our newsletter archive.
◎ Just because the organizers of the Human Rights Day rally have permission to go ahead with it does not mean that the event will be free from controversy.
◎ While the CCP has sought to extricate itself from the Hong Kong quagmire, its measures have thus far only caused it to sink in deeper.
◎ The external and domestic risks facing the CCP and Xi Jinping are coming to a head.
◎ Various signs indicate that the Hong Kong government could go ahead with a large-scale crackdown on the anti-extradition bill protests.
◎ The CCP, the Hong Kong government, and the Hong Kong police are “pouring oil on fire” by ramping up violent tactics and disinformation operations to suppress the Hong Kong anti-extradition bill protests.
◎ Based on our observation, the CCP is again preparing to shift strategies in Hong Kong as it pursues short, medium, and long-term agendas.
◎ When faced with popular uprisings or protests, the CCP typically resorts to the seemingly counterintuitive move of inciting the demonstrators or an entire population to violence.
◎ A Black Swan event for the Chinese regime could be just around the corner.
◎ We have identified four tactics which the CCP is utilizing to carry out its “judo move.”
◎ China’s communist leaders know that freedom, democracy and the rule of law are political contagions that could infect the vast Chinese population.
◎ Through the use of “chain stratagems,” the CCP is looking to turn a negative situation into a positive one for its regime.
◎ Songs have the power to become strong rallying calls for protest movements.