Geopolitics Watch: Korean Peninsula Denuke and Peace Could Hinge on US-North Korea Trust

Before departing Pyongyang on July 7, United States Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said that the round of talks he had with General Kim Yong Chol, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un’s top lieutenant, were “productive” and held in “good faith.” He added that progress was made on “almost all of the central issues” of …

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Geopolitics Watch: What North Korea, China ‘Backslide’ Means for Denuclearization, Sino-US Trade

Since the Trump-Kim summit in Singapore, signs have emerged which suggest that North Korea may not be working to denuclearize quickly. While United States President Donald Trump said that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un had promised to destroy a missile engines testing site, recent satellite images reveal no progress on that front. Instead, Pyongyang …

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Geopolitics Watch: Will Xi Really Strike Back at the US in Trade Clash?

In a meeting with about 20 American and European CEOs of multinationals on June 21, Chinese leader Xi Jinping appeared to indicate that China would retaliate to the Trump administration’s recent escalation of trade tensions, according to The Wall Street Journal. “In the West you have the notion that if somebody hits you on the …

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Geopolitics Watch: Trump-Kim Summit Affirms Our Peace and Denuclearization Prediction

United States President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un signed a joint statement at the end of their summit in Singapore on June 12. After signing the statement, Trump said that they would “take care of a very big and very dangerous problem for the world” while Kim said that they would …

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Geopolitics Watch: Would Kim Jong Un Accept Senate Democrats Denuclearization Demands?

In a letter to United States President Donald Trump, Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer and other top Senate Democrats listed five demands that North Korea must meet before they would approve the lifting of sanctions on Pyongyang. The demands include: 1) Dismantle or remove every single one of North Korea’s nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons; …

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Geopolitics Watch: In Canceling North Korea Summit, Trump Gets Two Birds With One Stone

On May 24, United States President Donald Trump scrapped a planned summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in Singapore. SinoInsider analyzed earlier that the Sino-U.S. trade negotiations are tied with North Korean denuclearization and peace talks. We believe that Trump’s move to call off the June 12 Singapore summit is ultimately aimed at …

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Geopolitics Watch: Why is North Korea Canceling South Korean Talks, Threatening Trump-Kim Summit?

On May 16, North Korean state media KCNA said that North Korea is suspending high-level talks with South Korea scheduled for the day in light of a joint military exercise between the United States and South Korea. KCNA claimed that the military drills, known as Max Thunder, was a “flagrant challenge” to the Panmunjom Declaration, …

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Geopolitics Watch: On Xi, Kim, Dalai Lama, North Korea, and the Sino-US Trade Talks

After trade discussions between China and the United States in Beijing concluded on May 4, several geopolitical developments have unfolded which further affirm our analysis of positive Sino-U.S. talks on trade. North Korea The backdrop: May 6: A North Korean foreign ministry spokesperson was quoted by state media as saying that Washington was “misleading public …

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Geopolitics Watch: Behind Wang Yi’s Trip to North Korea

On May 2, Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi visited Pyongyang for a two-day trip. He was greeted by North Korean vice-foreign minister Ri Kil Song at the airport. Observers expect Wang to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un during his visit. The backdrop: April 27: South Korean president Moon Jae-in and Kim Jong Un …

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Risk Watch: Property Prices Skyrocket in Chinese Border Town in Anticipation of North Korean Liberalization

Since April 21, property prices in China’s Dandong City have kept rising. Dandong faces North Korea’s Sinuiju City across the Yalu River. After the April 27 inter-Korean summit at Panmunjom, property prices in Dandong rose by 57 percent over two days. The backdrop: Dandong, a prefecture-level city in Liaoning Province, is the city that carries …

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